U.S. can control its own destiny
JOHANNESBURG -- While football fans and pundits will be analyzing and criticizing The Call for years to come, it doesn't change the fact that the U.S. got just one point from Saturday's game. And now, with all Group C teams having played their second matches, it's time to crunch the numbers to figure out the U.S.'s chances to advance to the knock-out stage.
For the U.S. to advance
The U.S. has to either beat or tie Algeria. If the Yanks win, they are through automatically. But if they tie, they need Slovenia to beat or to tie England in the other final game (being played at the same time to avoid shenanigans).
Here's where things get tricky. The U.S. will advance with a tie and an England-Slovenia tie only if England does not outscore the U.S. by two or more goals. Otherwise, though the U.S. and England would be even on points, England would go through on goal-differential, which is how FIFA's first tie-breaker.
For the U.S. to be knocked out
It has to lose, plain and simple. If the U.S. loses, Algeria would have four points and Slovenia would have at least four, depending on its game with England. As such, two teams would have more points than the U.S.'s two and the American World Cup campaign would be over.
Another bad-news scenario for the U.S.: If it ties with Algeria and England beats Slovenia. Again, two teams would have more points than the U.S. If the U.S. ties Algeria and England and Slovenia tie, the U.S. is out if England catches up on its goals scored deficit. As it stands, the U.S. has scored three goals and England one. If, say, the U.S. draws 0-0 with Algeria, and England ties Slovenia by 3-3, the U.S. is out.
For the U.S. to win its group
It needs to beat Algeria by at least two goals and either for England to tie its game with Slovenia or to win without besting the American goal differential. In other words, if both England and the U.S. win, the U.S. would need to win by a larger margin.
Finishing first or second -- does it matter?
While the U.S. would settle for making it out of the group, its prospects in the knockout stage will be dramatically affected depending on where it finishes. In the Round of 16, Group C faces Group D. The winner of Group C plays the runner-up of Group D and vice versa. Germany is expected to win Group D, so if the U.S. finishes second it likely would face Die Mannschaft.
Another factor is the side of the bracket the U.S. ends up on. If it wins the group, it most likely would be placed into a weaker half.
You can analyze the stats all you want, but Maurice Edu, whose goal was infamously disallowed, said it best: "It happened. Now we have to try and get a win against Algeria in our final game."
Otherwise, the U.S. will not fully control its own destiny.
Leander Schaerlaeckens is a soccer writer for ESPN.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.